Half-Life 3 released in 2012.

Created by muflax on 2011-12-31; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2013-01-01.

• muflax estimated 15% on 2011-12-31
• gwern said ““A final episode, Half-Life 2: Episode Three, has been confirmed to be the next installment of the series.[1]” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Half-Life_%28series%29 ???” on 2011-12-31
• muflax said “That’s ancient (2006!) and lots of gamers expect EP3 to be cancelled in favor of HL3.” on 2011-12-31
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.