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united Korea’s GDP > Japan in 2050

Created by gwern on 2011-12-31; known on 2050-01-01

  • gwern estimated 65% on 2011-12-31
  • gwern said “weakened version of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5045 – I like NOK’s natural resources, and their poor hardscrabbleness could be a shot in the arm for the ascetic self-torturing high-economic-growth mindset” on 2011-12-31
  • themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
  • pranomostro estimated 20% and said “Hidden conjunction: Korea united & GDP > Japans GDP” on 2018-12-19
  • pranomostro estimated 10% and said “Revising downward, united Korea judged unlikely.” on 2018-12-19