The Bitcoin price will hit 6 $/฿ in January 2012 UTC.

Created by Mqrius on 2012-01-01; known on 2012-02-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-05.

• Mqrius estimated 70% on 2012-01-01
• Mqrius estimated 80% and said “Hm, no, I think it’s more certain than that.” on 2012-01-01
• gwern estimated 75% and said “haven’t looked at the carts but hitting 5$ so quickly is strong evidence” on 2012-01-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2012-01-02
• Gedusa estimated 90% on 2012-01-04
• siscoking estimated 99% on 2012-01-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 96% and said “Last price:$5.93400” on 2012-01-05
• PseudonymousUser said “mtgox says last price $6.17520” on 2012-01-05
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-05.
• Mqrius said “Next one: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5175” on 2012-01-05