At least three papers with the word “connectomics” in their title or abstract will be published in Nature in 2012.

Created by Porejide on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Porejide on 2013-01-02.

• Porejide estimated 50% on 2012-01-02
• Porejide said “as determined via a pubmed search (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/advanced)) on Jan 1, 2013, with the search parameters:- Date – Publication: 1/1/2012 to present- Journal: Nature- All Fields: connectomics” on 2012-01-02
• Porejide changed their prediction from “Three papers with the word “connectomics” in their title or abstract will be published in Nature in 2012.” on 2012-01-02
• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-02
• Larklight estimated 20% and said “Purely based on the information contained in someone registering this, plus it being a stupid word.” on 2012-01-03
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2012-01-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2012-01-03
• Porejide said “0! http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed?term=” on 2013-01-02
• Porejide   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-02.