HP MoR: Harry is Voldemort

Created by ahartell on 2012-01-02; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2016-01-01.

• ahartell estimated 60% on 2012-01-02
• ahartell on 2012-01-02
• Porejide estimated 15% on 2012-01-02
• gwern said “yeah, but in what sense? the devil is in the details, whatever it turns out to be will not be simply classifiable – you need to give scenarios and how you would judge them, etc.” on 2012-01-02
• ahartell said “If Harry is a backup of Voldemort then I would consider it right. The reason for Harry being “different from the other boys” is that he gained Voldemort’s intelligence or something. ” on 2012-01-03
• ahartell said “ I think this was foreshadowed by Harry’s confusion over whether there was “one person you truly were” in his post-Azkaban talk with Quirrell.” on 2012-01-03
• Anubhav said “What if he’s just a horcrux like in the vanilla version?” on 2012-01-04
• ahartell said “If the Horcrux has no effect on Harry (like how it didn’t in the original) I think the prediction should be judged wrong.” on 2012-01-04
• ahartell estimated 30% on 2012-01-04
• Anubhav estimated 30% and said “What if his dark side is the fragment of Voldemort’s soul? (Although I doubt EY would write something so obvious, so this is probably just nitpicking.)” on 2012-01-05
• ahartell said “That would be a bit cliché, but I wouldn’t count it as a correct prediction. In that case it wouldn’t really be that Harry’s was part voldemort, but that his dark side was like a separate entity. ” on 2012-01-12
• ahartell said “*but in that case I wouldn’t count this as a correct prediction (the first sentence of my last comment doesn’t really make sense.)” on 2012-01-12
• ahartell changed their prediction from “Harry is Voldemort in MoR.” on 2012-04-07
• Anubhav said “NOTE: The “Eliezer wouldn’t write something so obvious” assertion from my last comment is now known to be false.” on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-01.