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HP MoR: Harry is Voldemort

Created by ahartell on 2012-01-02; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2016-01-01.

  • ahartell estimated 60% on 2012-01-02
  • Porejide estimated 15% on 2012-01-02
  • gwern said “yeah, but in what sense? the devil is in the details, whatever it turns out to be will not be simply classifiable – you need to give scenarios and how you would judge them, etc.on 2012-01-02
  • ahartell said “If Harry is a backup of Voldemort then I would consider it right. The reason for Harry being “different from the other boys” is that he gained Voldemort’s intelligence or something. on 2012-01-03
  • ahartell said “ I think this was foreshadowed by Harry’s confusion over whether there was “one person you truly were” in his post-Azkaban talk with Quirrell.on 2012-01-03
  • Anubhav said “What if he’s just a horcrux like in the vanilla version?on 2012-01-04
  • ahartell said “If the Horcrux has no effect on Harry (like how it didn’t in the original) I think the prediction should be judged wrong.on 2012-01-04
  • ahartell estimated 30% on 2012-01-04
  • Anubhav estimated 30% and said “What if his dark side is the fragment of Voldemort’s soul? (Although I doubt EY would write something so obvious, so this is probably just nitpicking.)on 2012-01-05
  • ahartell said “That would be a bit cliché, but I wouldn’t count it as a correct prediction. In that case it wouldn’t really be that Harry’s was part voldemort, but that his dark side was like a separate entity. on 2012-01-12
  • ahartell said “*but in that case I wouldn’t count this as a correct prediction (the first sentence of my last comment doesn’t really make sense.)on 2012-01-12
  • ahartell changed their prediction from “Harry is Voldemort in MoR.” on 2012-04-07
  • Anubhav said “NOTE: The “Eliezer wouldn’t write something so obvious” assertion from my last comment is now known to be false.on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
  • ahartell changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-01.

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