The mens' rights movement will be mentioned by name in a Time or Newsweek article sometime during 2012.
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-01-02.
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% on 2012-01-02
- Jayson Virissimo said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5knt” on 2012-01-02
- gwern estimated 20% on 2012-01-02
- gwern estimated 40% and said “a mention in 2011: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/05/01/mens-health-manhood-is-now-biggest-risk-factor-for-early-death.html” on 2012-01-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2012-01-02
- Ken estimated 70% on 2012-01-02
- Larklight estimated 5% on 2012-01-03
- Konkvistador estimated 35% on 2012-01-03
- Jayson Virissimo said “Nothing in 2012 per search function on both official websites.” on 2013-01-02
- Jayson Virissimo judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-02.