A previously unreleased song by Michael Jackson will be released sometime before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2012-01-02
• Jayson Virissimo said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/94k/new_years_prediction_thread_2012/5knt” on 2012-01-02
• gwern estimated 65% and said “I’m sure there must be tons of crap left on the editing floor, if only from the this-is-it tour preparations” on 2012-01-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2012-01-02
• Larklight estimated 30% on 2012-01-03
• Tuxedage said “Prediction correct. Source: http://www.contactmusic.com/news/new-michael-jackson-song-is-released_1339326” on 2013-01-13
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-13.