There will be improvement in efficient matrix multiplication in 2012 that will be discussed in at least one of the following blogs: Combinatorics and more, Shetl-Optimized, Godel's Lost Letter.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2012-01-02
• gwern estimated 50% and said “didn’t we see an improvement in 2011?” on 2012-01-02
• JoshuaZ said “Yes, and that work seems to open a variety of possible attacks. This is the main reason behind the prediction. ” on 2012-01-02
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.