AMZN market cap >= 0.25 * AAPL on 31 December 2012.

Created by gwern on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-02
• gwern said “right now, AMZN 78.72B, AAPL 405B, apropos of http://www.cringely.com/2012/01/prediction-2-amazon-and-bezos-supplant-apple-and-jobs/” on 2012-01-02
• Larklight estimated 50% on 2012-01-03
• gwern said “currently: 113.6b / 500.6b = 0.22 or less than 0.25. marking wrong.” on 2013-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.