Grognor (http://lesswrong.com/user/Grognor) will reach 1000 karma on LessWrong by September 27, 2012, one year after his first comment.

Created by Grognor on 2012-01-04; known on 2012-09-27; judged right by Grognor on 2012-03-13.

• Grognor estimated 72% on 2012-01-04
• Grognor said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4781 gave me the idea, of course” on 2012-01-04
• RobertLumley estimated 80% and said “You seem to have a much higher monthly karma than I.” on 2012-01-04
• Grognor said “It’s going down, though, and a lot of it is because http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/8w1/transcript_tyler_cowen_on_stories/ was less than a month ago” on 2012-01-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2012-02-16
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 90% on 2012-02-16
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 99% on 2012-03-12
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2012-03-12
• Grognor   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-13.
• Grognor said “underconfident as hell” on 2012-03-13