The Bitcoin price will hit 8 $/฿ in January 2012 UTC.

Created by Mqrius on 2012-01-06; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-01.

• Mqrius estimated 90% on 2012-01-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2012-01-06
• gwern estimated 70% on 2012-01-06
• kiba estimated 40% on 2012-01-08
• modulus estimated 65% on 2012-01-09
• _W_ estimated 95% and said “Almost certainty for me, and I have leveraged positions to take advantage” on 2012-01-09
• spqr0a1 estimated 60% on 2012-01-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2012-01-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2012-01-25
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2012-01-25
• _W_ estimated 40% and said “Time is running out for this one, and the price has been stable apart from occasional big dumps of coins for a while now.” on 2012-01-25
• gwern said “never went past 7.2 or so, mtgox’s charts seem to indicate; marking wrong” on 2012-02-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-01.