Night 6: pill was Vitamin D

Created by gwern on 2012-01-06; known on 2012-01-06; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-06.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-06
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-06.
• gwern changed their prediction from “Night 5: pill was Vitamin D” on 2012-01-06