PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Part 2 of Shikamaru vs the Logical Fallacies to be ready within 2 months

Created by gwern on 2012-01-08; known on 2012-03-08; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-08.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2012-01-08
  • gwern said “not seeing naything in FF, author profile, or LW comments/submissions; marking wrong” on 2012-03-08
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-08.