Copyright is challenged in a US court as unconstitutional before 2016. The case is not dismissed without hearing.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-08; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-07.

• Anubhav estimated 40% on 2012-01-08
• Anubhav said “See links on http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5234” on 2012-01-08
• JoshuaZ said “Challenged at what level? Anyone can file a lawsuit. Getting it not dismissed immediately is a different issue…” on 2012-01-08
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Copyright is challenged in a US court as unconstitutional before 2016.” on 2012-01-08
• Anubhav said “Is this better?” on 2012-01-08
• gwern estimated 20% and said “copyright in general, as opposed to a specific law like ashcroft vs lessig?” on 2012-01-08
• Anubhav said “A Copyright Act (1790 or 1976, for instance) would count, something like the DMCA or SOPA/PIPA won’t.” on 2012-01-08
• Anubhav said “Related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5234http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5236” on 2012-01-08
• PseudonymousUser said “Some Googling doesn’t find anything” on 2016-01-07
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-07.