“3. LivingSocial catches up to Groupon” —Brian Breslin

Created by gwern on 2012-01-08; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-08
• gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2012-predictions/” on 2012-01-08
• gwern said “ – network effects, basically. GRP may be in bad shape, but doesn’t mean LS can catch up. will judge based either on sales or marketshare, I guess, come 2013, since Breslin wasn’t specific” on 2012-01-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2012-01-08
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.