PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

GJP: #1060 Will Christian Wulff resign or vacate the office of President of Germany before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-04-01; judged right by faws on 2012-02-18.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-09
  • faws estimated 21% on 2012-01-22
  • faws   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-18.