GJP: #1056 Will €1 Euro buy less than $1.20 US dollars at any point before 1 January 2013?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-09; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-01-09
• gwern said “http://www.ecb.int/stats/exchange/eurofxref/html/eurofxref-graph-usd.en.html” on 2012-01-09
• modulus estimated 45% and said “Most bad news have already come, I think. But we shall see!” on 2012-01-10
• Mqrius estimated 75% on 2012-01-12
• dhoe estimated 50% on 2012-09-03
• gwern said “minimum: 1.2089. almost! less than a cent away.” on 2013-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.
• Tuxedage said “85” on 2013-01-01
• Tuxedage said “Oh shit. This prediction is already over. Whoops. I misread the date.” on 2013-01-01