World economic depression

Created by kish on 2012-01-10; known on 2012-12-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-27.

• kish estimated 100% on 2012-01-10
• lavalamp estimated 60% and said ““it’s a little vague”” on 2012-01-20
• gwern said “nope. 3% global gdp growth in 2012: http://www.conference-board.org/data/globaloutlook.cfm marking wrong. too bad about that 100%, kish. Hope you didn’t make any bets…” on 2012-12-27
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-27.