USD worth over 3 EUR

Created by kish on 2012-01-10; known on 2012-12-21; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-12-21.

• kish estimated 100% on 2012-01-10
• smijer estimated 60% on 2012-01-10
• gwern estimated 25% and said “1 dollar is currently worth 0.8 euros. do you really expect the dollar to quadruple against the euro/the euro to fall 75%?” on 2012-01-10
• faws estimated 5% on 2012-01-11
• Mqrius estimated 10% and said “What happens if the Euro is cancelled?” on 2012-01-12
• spqr0a1 estimated 10% on 2012-01-17
• lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-01-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2012-01-20
• siscoking estimated 1% on 2012-01-21
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 5% on 2012-01-24
• RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2012-03-16
• kilobug estimated 2% on 2012-11-09
• Qiaochu estimated 0% on 2012-11-16
• dhoe estimated 0% on 2012-12-11
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-21.
• Qiaochu said “0.76 EUR. Not even close. ” on 2012-12-21