World will not end or be radically transformed in accordance with apocalyptic expectations of any major world religion (as they are understood prior to the events of 2012).

Created by smijer on 2012-01-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

• smijer estimated 99% on 2012-01-10
• gwern said “there’s like a dozen versions of this already” on 2012-01-10
• smijer said “Sorry – I’m new. I’m kind of practicing and getting the feel for building good anti-predictions.” on 2012-01-10
• Anubhav estimated 100% and said “I’m interpreting this to mean ‘(A) World won’t end in 2012 AND (B) No major world religion will, in 2012, declare that the world has been radically transformed in the same year.’ (Makes it easier to judge.)” on 2012-01-11
• smijer said “Anubhav, the meaning is that if the world ends, it will not be in any of the ways modern religion anticipates today. i.e. comet strike and no returning Christ. ” on 2012-01-11
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.