Total Chinese rice production to be less in 2032 than in 2012

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2032-01-01

• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “inspired by Stross “China’s rice basket will also take a battering” http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 55% and said “Not very confident here.” on 2018-12-19