Commercial fusion reactor online by 2063 —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2063-01-01

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““Fusion will be 30 years away. But by that, I mean commercial fusion reactors.” http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• spqr0a1 estimated 40% on 2012-01-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 51% on 2018-12-19