Automated driving infrastructure in First World; majority of new cars large/completely automated. —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2032-01-01

• gwern estimated 70% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““I expect the developed world to have installed infrastructure for automated driving in many environments, and for many new cars to be largely (if not completely) automated” ” on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html – can’t let myself be blinded by how much I want this one to come true” on 2012-01-14
• spqr0a1 estimated 50% on 2012-01-17
• mad estimated 60% on 2015-01-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 66% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 67% on 2018-12-19