Cultured mammalian meat commercially available by 2032 —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2032-01-01

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““It’ll be of about the same consistency as Quorn and will lack mouth appeal, but some folks will take to it” on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “(folks who like meat too much to go vegetarian today, but who have ethical qualms about eating animals and a big enough disposable income to pay)." http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
• JesseClifton estimated 70% on 2017-01-28
• Michael Dickens estimated 95% and said “My exact number could change depending on how “commercially available” is defined. How broadly available does it have to be to qualify?” on 2017-11-05
• pranomostro estimated 75% on 2018-12-19