Genetically-modified-crop-caused famine by 2032 —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2032-01-01

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““one or more famines or crop crashes and food price spikes caused by second-order effects of early and ill-advised GM crop roll-outs” http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• spqr0a1 estimated 20% on 2012-01-17
• lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-01-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-12-19