“The USA will not have been the dominant planetary superpower for at least fifty years. The EU won't have replaced it. China will be over the peak and probably a long way down the down-slope. The future belongs to someone else. Maybe Brazil or India?” —C

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01

• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2018-12-19