By 2092, any orbital solar power stations will still be for space applications, and not ground use (eg. beaming it down as microwaves) —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01

• gwern estimated 70% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““Orbital solar power won’t be used for ground-based applications, unless there has been extensive mining and fabrication of components in orbit from asteroidal resources. I’m not betting on it by 2092, ” on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “but I’m not betting against it either." http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• pranomostro estimated 66% on 2018-12-19
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-12-19