Cultured mammalian meat cheaper than and as tasty as real meat by 2092 —Charles Stross

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01

• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-01-14
• gwern said ““…synthetic meat indistinguishable from the real thing (Kobe beef steak made from vat-grown Kobe beef muscle tissue!) will be available and is probably cheaper than the real thing.” ” on 2012-01-14
• gwern said “http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/01/world-building-301-some-projec.html” on 2012-01-14
• rrden estimated 90% on 2012-01-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2012-01-14
• Anubhav estimated 80% and said “There is a non-negligible chance of apocalypse.” on 2012-01-15
• lavalamp estimated 70% and said “That might even be enough time for people to get over the “ick” factor…” on 2012-01-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• Michael Dickens estimated 90% on 2017-11-05
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2018-12-19