This prediction will be deleted within 5 days.

Created by siscoking on 2012-01-14; known on 2012-01-19

• siscoking estimated 99% on 2012-01-14
• faws estimated 2% on 2012-01-15
• siscoking withdrew the prediction on 2012-01-18
• faws said “Withdrawing your predictions because you were wrong is not exactly the hallmark of honesty.” on 2012-01-19
• JoshuaZ said “Faws, if I’m reading this correctly, they meant “will be withdrawn” when they said “be deleted”. So it came true. ” on 2012-01-19
• faws said “No, shortly (I think only a few hours) before at least one of siscoking’s predictions (that directly insulted another member) was deleted, this seems to have been an implicit accusation of unfair censorship.” on 2012-01-20
• gwern said “I set one of his more egregious predictions to be ‘private’.” on 2012-01-21