Night 20: pill was Vitamin D

Created by gwern on 2012-01-20; known on 2012-01-20; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-20.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-01-20
• gwern said “didn’t have too much trouble falling asleep, but I woke up early and the rest of the morning was abominable (which is too bad as I had been planning a modafinil night)” on 2012-01-20
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-20.