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GJP: #1068 Will the UN Security Council pass a new measure/resolution directly concerning Syria between 23 January 2012 and 31 March 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-23
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.