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GJP: #1070 Will Israel release Palestinian politician Aziz Duwaik from prison before 1 March 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-23; known on 2012-03-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-01.

  • gwern estimated 55% on 2012-01-23
  • gwern said “WP doesn’t report a release and mentions a 6 month detention (without trial or charges), so marking wrong” on 2012-03-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-01.