Federal investigation of Chris Dodd and/or the MPAA for bribery before the end of this year.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-24; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-26.

• Anubhav estimated 30% on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “https://wwws.whitehouse.gov/petitions/” on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “The link leads where it’s supposed to, but doesn’t display correctly. ! marks comments in Ruby, I’m guessing?” on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “(There’s a # before the !. # does mark a comment.)” on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “(No there isn’t. Just ignore this monologue.)” on 2012-01-24
• gwern estimated 15% and said “haha, like the FBI will declare war on ordinary time-hallowed congressional practices?” on 2012-01-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2012-01-26
• Anubhav said “https://wwws.whitehouse.gov/petitions/ ← Don’t think this slides the probability in either direction…” on 2012-02-02
• gwern said “nothing in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Dodd” on 2013-01-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-26.