“We will be able to control the weather” —mariebee_; BBC

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2112-01-01

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-24
• gwern said ““here is already some weather control technology for mediating tornadoes, making it rain and so on”” on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “reasons for skepticism: weather is chaotic and I’d expect any pinpoint changes to require big energy inputs better spent on other things. generic geoengineering would not count for this prediction” on 2012-01-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 35% on 2018-12-15
• Baeboo estimated 65% on 2018-12-15