Functioning commercial fusion by 2112 —Kennys_Heroes, BBC

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2112-01-01

• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-16536598 see other predictions about fusion in the 2030s and 2050s, IIRC” on 2012-01-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 70% on 2012-01-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 54% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 58% on 2018-12-15
• Baeboo estimated 66% on 2018-12-15