“Sovereign nation states will cease to exist and there will be one world government” —krozier93; BBC

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2112-01-01

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-01-24
• gwern said “http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-16536598” on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “Far too many background assumptions. Equivalent to hypothetical 1600s prediction: ‘Sovereign kings cease to exist, there will be one world emperor.’” on 2012-01-24
• Elithrion said “If there is a singleton AI, high-ish, otherwise only if aliens invade and we don’t all instantly die or something.” on 2013-02-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-12-15
• Baeboo estimated 25% on 2018-12-15