HP MoR: “A new chapter of HP:MoR, which would be more than two pages in length, will be posted” —Bugmaster

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-03-15.

• gwern estimated 95% on 2012-01-24
• Anubhav said “How long is a page?” on 2012-01-24
• saturn estimated 99% on 2012-01-25
• kallman estimated 100% and said “Author’s notes he has 4 chapters semi-complete, totalling some large sum of words – can’t imagine he has to sit on them all year.” on 2012-02-04
• faws estimated 99% on 2012-02-05
• ahartell estimated 100% on 2012-02-06
• Anubhav estimated 90% and said “Eliezer might just decide to complete the entire fic and post it all together.” on 2012-02-28
• Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-15.
• gwern changed their prediction from ““A new chapter of HP:MoR, which would be more than two pages in length, will be posted” —Bugmaster” on 2012-04-09