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HP MoR: “A new chapter of HP:MoR, which would be more than two pages in length, will be posted” —Bugmaster

Created by gwern on 2012-01-24; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-03-15.

  • gwern estimated 95% on 2012-01-24
  • Anubhav said “How long is a page?on 2012-01-24
  • saturn estimated 99% on 2012-01-25
  • kallman estimated 100% and said “Author’s notes he has 4 chapters semi-complete, totalling some large sum of words – can’t imagine he has to sit on them all year.on 2012-02-04
  • faws estimated 99% on 2012-02-05
  • ahartell estimated 100% on 2012-02-06
  • Anubhav estimated 90% and said “Eliezer might just decide to complete the entire fic and post it all together.on 2012-02-28
  • Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-15.
  • gwern changed their prediction from ““A new chapter of HP:MoR, which would be more than two pages in length, will be posted” —Bugmaster” on 2012-04-09