PredictionBook will display users' Brier scores by the end of this year.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-25; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-01-01.

• Anubhav estimated 40% on 2012-01-25
• Anubhav said “https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Brier_score” on 2012-01-25
• Anubhav said “My estimate will go down drastically if it turns out to require changing the database schema. ” on 2012-01-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2012-01-25
• saturn estimated 10% and said “According to the git log, PB.com has not gained any significant new features since before May 2011.” on 2012-01-25
• Jayson Virissimo said “It shouldn’t require any more information than is used to generate the graphs on the userpage.” on 2012-01-25
• muflax estimated 34% on 2012-01-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2012-01-26
• gwern estimated 25% on 2012-01-26
• RandomThinker estimated 15% on 2012-03-06
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% and said “I just proved that you can do it with just the information that is scrapable: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3943312/brier.html” on 2012-05-12
• RandomThinker said “@ Emanuel: sweet html page. Does it update in real time?” on 2012-05-12
• Emanuel Rylke said “@RandomThinker nope. It is a fairly manual process.” on 2012-05-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2012-06-12
• chemotaxis101 estimated 15% on 2012-07-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.