There will be working blueprints for a space elevator by 2017.

Created by iconreforged on 2012-01-27; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-02-26.

• iconreforged estimated 5% on 2012-01-27
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 1% on 2012-01-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-01-29
• gwern said “how does one know if they work if the elevator is not built?” on 2012-01-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-10
• Athrithalix said “No available design for a space elevator that could be constructed with current technology.” on 2018-02-26
• Athrithalix   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-02-26.