Eliezer will have replied to my PM by tomorrow morning. The reply will be a go-ahead.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-27; known on 2012-01-28; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-01-28.

• Anubhav estimated 50% on 2012-01-27
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-28” and changed their prediction from “Eliezer will have replied to my PM by tomorrow morning. The reply will be to the effect of “meh, go ahead.”” on 2012-01-27
• Anubhav said “PM was basically: For the sake of fanfic writers in the future who might want to do a reboot, may I start a ‘things in HPMOR that could’ve been done better’ thread?” on 2012-01-27
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-27” on 2012-01-27
• Anubhav said “Related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5526” on 2012-01-27
• gwern estimated 30% and said “he doesn’t reply when I ask for link repairs or other things, so…” on 2012-01-27
• saturn estimated 10% on 2012-01-27
• Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-28.