PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Eliezer will reply to my PM in the next 2 days. The reply will be a go-ahead.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-27; known on 2012-01-29; judged right by Anubhav on 2012-01-28.

  • Anubhav estimated 70% on 2012-01-27
  • Anubhav said “Related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5525on 2012-01-27
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “conjunction…on 2012-01-27
  • saturn estimated 12% on 2012-01-27
  • Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-28.
  • Anubhav said “gwern: I would’ve been very surprised if he’d replied and said “No, you can’t do that.”on 2012-01-28