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Night 27: pill was Vitamin D

Created by gwern on 2012-01-27; known on 2012-01-27; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-27.

  • gwern estimated 55% on 2012-01-27
  • gwern said “lost most of the data )between 2AM and 6AM( because the headband must have slipped off or somethingon 2012-01-27
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-27.