Conditional on being offered a fulltime non-contractor with-benefits jobs at SIAI, I will accept.

Created by gwern on 2012-01-28; known on 2012-04-28; judged right by gwern on 2012-04-28.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5547” on 2012-01-28
• PseudonymousUser estimated 85% on 2012-01-29
• gwern said “no offer, marking right” on 2012-04-28
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-04-28.