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I will watch all 75 episodes of Hikaru no Go before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-01-29; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-01-02.

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2012-01-29
  • Anubhav estimated 50% on 2012-01-29
  • gwern estimated 45% and said “I sure didn’t think it was worth watching all 75…” on 2012-01-29
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 16% on 2012-01-30
  • Jayson Virissimo said “If I had watched the first episode of Monster before making this prediction I wouldn’t have assigned such a high probability.” on 2012-01-30
  • Jayson Virissimo said “WTF was I thinking? 55%?!” on 2012-03-29
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2012-10-02
  • Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-02.