GJP: #1072 Will Serbia be officially granted EU candidacy before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-31; known on 2012-04-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-04-03.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2012-01-31
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-04-03.