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GJP: #1071 Will Iran and the U.S. commence official nuclear program talks* before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-31; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2012-01-31
  • gwern changed their prediction from “GJP: #1070 Will Iran and the U.S. commence official nuclear program talks* before 1 April 2012?” on 2012-04-03
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.