GJP: #1075 Will a run-off be required in the 2012 Russian presidential election?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-31; known on 2012-03-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-06.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2012-01-31
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-06.