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GJP: #1074 Will Libyan government forces regain control* of the city of Bani Walid before 6 February 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-01-31; known on 2012-02-06; judged right by gwern on 2012-02-08.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2012-01-31
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-08.