Pill was modafinil.

Created by Lemmih on 2012-02-04; known on 2012-02-05; judged right by Lemmih on 2012-02-05.

• Lemmih estimated 10% on 2012-02-04
• gwern estimated 20% and said “as I said, modafinil can be pretty subtle if you are using it in a day context” on 2012-02-04
• Lemmih said “I wonder if I’m more receptive to modafinil because of my genes or because of my younger age.” on 2012-02-04
• Lemmih   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-05.
• Lemmih said “Well, color me surprised. ):” on 2012-02-05