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My armodafinil shipment will arrive within 2 weeks

Created by gwern on 2012-02-06; known on 2012-02-18; judged right by gwern on 2012-02-17.

  • gwern estimated 35% on 2012-02-06
  • gwern said “arrived an hour ago. talk about cutting it close!on 2012-02-17
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-17.